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网传山西新冠肺炎42天超长潜伏期不实 中疾控专家解读:潜伏期是如何确定的?

SHANXIPINGYAOXINGUANFEIYANHUANZHESHIWEIMIQIEJIECHUZHE,SHUYUERDAIBINGLI。CONGSHIJIANTUISUAN,QIANFUQIZAI14TIANNEI。

PINGYAOBINGLIWEIJIATINGJUJIXINGBINGLI。MUQIAN,QUANGUODUODICHUXIANJUJIXINGYIQING,JIATINGJUJIXINGBINGLIYOUWEITUCHU。ZHUANJIATIXING,JUSHIYAOZHUYITONGFENG,BIMIANJUJIXINGHUODONG。

SUIRAN2YUE11RISHENYE,ZHONGNANSHANZAIJIESHOUMEITICAIFANGSHIBIAOSHI,YANJIUZHONG,QIANFUQI24TIANDEBINGRENJINYOU1LI。DANWOMENRENGYOUBIYAOHUIDAONEIGEJIBENWENTI——HEWEIQIANFUQI?XINGUANFEIYANDEQIANFUQIYOUSHIZENMEQUEDINGDE?

JINER,WOMENHAIYAOWEN,GEBIESUOWEI“CHAOZHANGQIANFUQI”BINGLIDECHUXIAN,SHIFOUHUIYINGXIANGYIQINGDEZHENGTIFANGKONGCELVE?GERENFANGHUSHIFOUJIANGYINCIZUOCHUGAIBIAN?

42天发病患者实为密接

2YUE9RI,SHANXISHENGJINZHONGSHIWEISHENGJIANKANGWEIWANGZHANTONGBAODEYIZEXINGUANFEIYANBINGLIYINFAYULUNGUANZHU。

ZHEIFENMINGWEI《JINZHONGSHIJIEZHI2YUE7RI24SHIQUEZHENBINGLISHENGHUOJIUZHENGUIJITONGBAO》CHENG,HUANZHENV,65SUI,XIANZHUZHIPINGYAOXIANDUJIAZHUANGXIANGSUJIABAOCUN。2019NIAN12YUE25RICHENGFEIJIKY3004ZIWUHANDAOTAIYUAN,12YUE26RICHENGZUOCHUZUCHEDAOPINGYAO。2020NIAN1YUE1RICHENGZUOSIJIACHEFANHUISUJIABAOCUNJIAZHONG。2YUE3RIYOU120JIEDAOXIANRENMINYIYUANJIUZHEN。2YUE5RIQUEZHEN。

CONG12YUE25RIFANXIANGZHI2YUE5RIQUEZHEN,XIANGJU42TIAN。YUSHI,YOUMEITICHENG,XINGUANFEIYANHUANZHEQIANFUQIHUOZHANGDA42TIAN。

事实果真如此?

2YUE11RI,JIZHECONGDANGDIXIANGGUANBUMENHUOXI,SHISHISHANG,1YUE25RI,ZHEIWEI65SUIHUANZHEDEERXIBEIQUEZHENWEIXINGUANFEIYAN,HUANZHEYU2YUE3RIDAOPINGYAOXIANRENMINYIYUANJIUZHEN。HUANYANZHI,ZHEIMINGHUANZHESHIMIQIEJIECHUZHE,SHUYUERDAIBINGLI,CONGSHIJIANTUISUAN,QIANFUQIYEZAI14TIANNEI。

JIANKANGBAOJIZHEZHUYIDAO,CICISHANXIXINGUANFEIYANYIQING,BINGLIJIZHONGZAIJINZHONGSHI。SHANXISHENGWEISHENGJIANKANGWEIWANGZHANGONGBUDESHUJUXIANSHI,JIEZHI2YUE10RI24SHI,SHANXIQUANSHENGGONGQUEZHENXINGUANFEIYAN122LI,JINZHONGSHIGONGQUEZHEN33LI,YUXIADE89LIZEFENSANYUSHENGNEIQITA10GECHENGSHI。

广东体彩36选7走势图ZHIDEZHUYIDESHI,JINZHONGSHIDEBINGLIZHUYAOLAIZIXIAXIADEPINGYAOXIAN。ZHEIYUPINGYAODANGDIHENDUORENZAIWUHANJINGSHANGYOUGUAN。JUBUWANQUANTONGJI,MUQIANYOUCHAOGUO3WANMINGPINGYAORENZAIWUHANJINGSHANG,JINZAIHANZHENGJIEJINGSHANGZHEJIUDA3000YUREN。

广东体彩36选7走势图JIANKANGBAOJIZHEHUOXI,JIEZHI2YUE9HAO,GONGYOU3100YUMINGPINGYAORENCONGWUHANFANXIANG,QIEDABUFENCHENGZUOFEIJI。YOUYUDUOWEIQINYOU,PINGYAODANGDIDUOCHENGXIANJIATINGJUJIXINGBINGLI。JIEZHI2YUE10RI24SHI,PINGYAOYILEIJIZHUIZONGMIQIEJIECHUZHE543REN,SHANGYOU234RENZAIJIESHOUYIXUEGUANCHA。

83%的聚集性疫情在家庭

BUJINSHIPINGYAO,QUANGUODUODIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGCHENGXIANJUJIXING,QIZHONGJIATINGJUJIXINGBINGLIYOUWEITUCHU。

ZAI2YUE11RIGUOWUYUANLIANFANGLIANKONGJIZHIXINWENFABUHUISHANG,ZHONGGUOJIKONGZHONGXINLIUXINGBINGXUESHOUXIZHUANJIAWUZUNYOUBIAOSHI,SUOWEIJUJIXINGYIQING,SHIZHIZAIYIGEXIANGDUIXIAODEKONGJIANLICHUXIANLIANGGEYISHANGDEBINGLI,“WOMENDUIJUJIXINGYIQINGJINXINGLEFENXI,QIZHONG83%ZAIJIATING,CIWAI,CHANGJIANDEHAIYOUYILIAOJIGOU、XUEXIAO、SHANGCHANG、QIYEDENG。”

WUZUNYOUJIESHI,XINGUANFEIYANJUJIXINGYIQINGDEFASHENG,YIBANSHIYINSHOULIBINGREN(YIDAIBINGLI)YOUHUBEI、WUHANJUZHUSHENGHUO、LVYOUSHI,HUOSHIYOUYUJIATINGSHENGHUOJIECHUHUOZHAOGUBINGREN、JUCANDENG,SHIDEFASHENGERDAIBINGLICHUANBO。

SANDAI、SIDAIBINGLIZHUYAOSHIDIYIDAIBINGLILINCHUANGTEZHENGBUMINGXIAN,QITARENZAIHEBINGRENJIECHUZHONG,FANGFANYISHIBUQIANGSUOYINFADE。 “YIDAIBINGLIZHAN22%,ERDAIBINGLIZHAN64%,YEYOUGEBIEDEHUICHUXIANSANDAISHENZHISIDAIBINGLI。”

WUZUNYOUBIAOSHI,FANGKONGJUJIXINGYIQING,SHOUXIANYAORENSHIJUJIXINGYIQINGFASHENGDECHANGSUOHEDIDIAN,YEJIUSHISHUO,RUGUOJIALIYOUBINGRENHUOXUYAOZHAOGUBINGREN、JUHUI、DAORENYUANMIJIDEDIFANGHUOSHICHENGCHEDENG,ZHUSHANGCHANGSUOJUNKENENGYINFAJUJIXINGYIQING,JUNCUNZAIFENGXIAN。

广东体彩36选7走势图YINCI,JIATINGJUSHIYAOZHUYITONGFENG,GERENYAOZHUYIWEISHENGFANGHU,YAODAIKOUZHAO,XISHOU,JINLIANGBIMIANQUCANJIAJUHUI、JUCANZHEIYANGDEJUJIXINGHUODONG。

新冠肺炎患者平均潜伏期为5.2天

广东体彩36选7走势图BUJINSHIPINGYAODEBINGLI,SHISHISHANG,GUANYUXINGUANFEIYANQIANFUQIDEWENTIYICHENGWEIJINRIDEYULUNJIAODIAN。

2YUE9RI,GUOJIAWEISHENGJIANKANGWEIGAOJIBIEZHUANJIAZUZUZHANGZHONGNANSHANYUANSHILINGXIANDE“ZHONGGUO2019NIANXINXINGGUANZHUANGBINGDUGANRANDELINCHUANGTEZHENG”YANJIU,ZAIYUYINBENWANGZHANmedRxivSHANGFABIAO。LUNWENCHENG,XINGUANFEIYANDEQIANFUQIZUIZHANGKEDA24TIAN。

SUIRAN2YUE11RISHENYE,ZHONGNANSHANZAIJIESHOUMEITICAIFANGSHIBIAOSHI,QIANFUQI24TIANDEBINGRENJINYOU1LI。DANWOMENRENGYOUBIYAOHUIDAONEIGEJIBENWENTI——HEWEIQIANFUQI?XINGUANFEIYANDEQIANFUQIYOUSHIRUHEQUEDINGDE?

JINYIBU,WOMENHAIYAOWEN,GEBIESUOWEI“CHAOZHANGQIANFUQI”BINGLIDECHUXIAN,SHIFOUHUIYINGXIANGYIQINGFANGKONGCELVE?DUIGERENFANGHUYOUJIANGCHANSHENGNAXIEYINGXIANG?

DUICI,WUZUNYOUJIESHI,YIJIECHUZHEYUBINGRENJINJULIJIECHUWEISHI,YIJIECHUZHEFABINGWEIMO,ERZHEJIANGEDESHIJIANJIWEIQIANFUQI。

“RUGUOYUXINGUANFEIYANBINGRENJIUJIECHUGUOYICI,NEIME,QUEDINGJIECHUDESHIJIANJIEDIANJIUXIANGDUIRONGYI。”WUZUNYOUJULISHUO,BINGRENJIAYUTONGXUEJUHUI,5TIANHOU,CANYUJUHUIDEYIFABING,YIYUJIAZHEIDUANSHIJIANZHIZAIJUHUIJIECHUGUOYICI,NEIME,YIDEQIANFUQIJIWEI5TIAN。

“RUGUOSHIYUXINGUANFEIYANBINGRENGONGTONGSHENGHUOHUOSHIZHAOGUBINGREN,NEIME,ZAIYIDUANSHIJIANNEI,HUIFANFUDUOCIJINJULIJIECHU,BAOLUDEQISHISHIJIANJIUBUYIPANDING。”WUZUNYOUSHUO。

BIRU,BINGRENBINGLIHUANXINGUANFEIYAN,JIASHUDINGZAI1YUE15RIZHI25RIDE10TIANLIMEITIANDOUZHAOGUBING。DINGYU1YUE29RIFABING。NEIME,RUHEQUEDINGDINGDEQIANFUQINI?

“15HAODAO25HAO,DINGZAIMEIYITIANDOUYOUGANRANDEKENENG,YINCI,TONGCHANGQUZHONGJIANRIQIJISUAN,JI20HAOWEIJIECHUQIDIAN,ZAIJIASHANG25HAODAO29HAODE4TIAN,DINGDEQIANFUQIJIUSHI9TIAN。”WUZUNYOUSHUO。

DANGGUANCHADEYIHEDINGZHEIYANGDEBINGRENDESHULIANGDADAOJISHIHUOJIBAIRENSHI,BAMEIGERENDEQIANFUQIANZHAOTONGJIXUEFANGFAQUZHONGWEISHU,BINGJISUANQI95%KEXINQUJIAN,JIKEHUODEPINGJUNQIANFUQI。“GENJUWOMENZHANGWODEYANGBEN,XINGUANFEIYANHUANZHEDEPINGJUNQIANFUQIWEI5.2TIAN。”WUZUNYOUSHUO。

潜伏期会有微小变化,但不会调整

DUIYUZHONGNANSHANYUANSHITUANDUITICHUDEGEBIEBINGLICUNZAI24TIANQIANFUQI,WUZUNYOUBIAOSHI,ZIJISHANGWEIYANDUGAIWEN,BUBIANFABIAOPINGLUN。

广东体彩36选7走势图DANTATEBIEQIANGDIAO,YIBANERYAN,QIANFUQIDEQUEDING,SHIYIJIBINGLIUXINGZAOQIFAXIANDEBINGLIWEIZHU,YINWEICISHIBINGRENSHAO,JIECHUGUANXIMINGQUE、QINGXI,DECHUDESHUJUYEJIAOWEIZHUNQUE。

SUIZHEBINGLISHUDEZENGJIA,CHUANBOLIANZHUJIANMOHU,MUQIAN,XINGUANFEIYANYIJINRUSHEQUCHUANBOJIEDUAN,JIATINGJUJIXINGBINGLIJIAODUO,ZAIJINXINGLIUXINGBINGXUEDIAOCHASHI,HENNANQUEDINGHUANZHEQUEQIEDEGANRANSHIJIAN。“BIRU,HUANZHEZUIHOUSHIYUNAGERENJIECHUGANRANDE?ZAIJUJIXINGBINGLIZHONG,WANGWANGHENMOHU。”WUZUNYOUSHUO。

广东体彩36选7走势图LINGYIFANGMIAN,QIANFUQIDEQUEDING,YEYUHUANZHEBENRENTIGONGDESHENGHUOGUIJIXIANGGUAN。BINGRENZAIHUIGUGUOWANGDEJIECHUSHISHI,SHIJIANJIANGEYUEZHANG,JIYIDEBUQUEDINGXINGYUEDA,LIUXINGBINGXUEDIAOCHACUNZAIPIANYIDEKENENGXINGYESUIZHIZENGDA。“DUIGERENERYAN,ZHUNQUEJIYIJINYIGEYUENEIDEJIECHUSHI,SHIHENNANDE,YOUQIDUIYULAONIANREN。”

WUZUNYOUTANYAN,SUIRANNANDUYUELAIYUEDA,DANBINGFEIWANQUANBUNENG。“MUQIANDUIMIQIEJIECHUZHEJINXINGZHUIZONGGUANCHA,HAISHINENGHUODEKEKAOSHUJUDE。”SUIZHELINCHUANGGUANCHADEBINGLISHUBUDUANZENGJIA,JISUANCHUDEQIANFUQIYEHUIYOUWEIXIAOBIANHUA。“TONGSUDISHUO,JIUSHIQIANFUQIDEQUJIANFANWEIYUELAIYUEZHAI,BIAOXIANWEIYUELAIYUEJINGZHUN。”

WUZUNYOUQIANGDIAO,MEITISHANGSUOSHUODEQIANFUQI,SHIJISHIZHIPINGJUNQIANFUQI,SHIXUANQUDALIANGYANGBENDEQIANFUQIDEZHONGWEISHU。ZHEIGEZHONGWEISHUDEZHI,BUHUIYINWEICHUXIANGEBIEJIZHIERFASHENGJIAODABIANHUA。YINCI,SUIBUPAICHUCHUXIANGEBIEJIZHIDEKENENG,DANBUHUIDUIQIANFUQIZUOCHUDIAOZHENG。

“CONGQUANGUOJUJIXINGYIQINGDIAOCHASHEJIDEJIQIANMINGERDAI、SANDAIBINGLIFASHENGDESHIJIANLAIKAN,GUOJIAWEISHENGJIANKANGWEIFABUDE《XINXINGGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANFANGKONGFANGAN(DISIBAN)》ZHONGBIAOSHUDEQIANFUQIRENGRANSHIYONG”。WUZUNYOUSHUO。

DUIYUGERENFANGHUWENTI,WUZUNYOUBIAOSHI,“YUZHIQIANMEIYOUBIANHUA。”YIBANGONGZUOSHENGHUOTIAOJIANXIA,ZHENGQUEPEIDAIKOUZHAO,QINXISHOUZUYIBAOHUPUTONGGONGZHONGBUBEIGANRAN。

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